649 FXUS64 KLZK 112339 AAA AFDLZKArea Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 639 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 135 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
-Well above normal conditions expected for next several days
-No significant rainfall expected
-Slight relief possible late in forecast?
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 135 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
A weak upper wave is dropping SE over NWRN sections of the state early this Thu morning...with some isolated/scattered pockets of rain noted over WRN sections of the state. Have mentioned some low end POPs for this activity over the next several hrs. This upper wave will weaken as it drops generally S/SE this morning...with the potential for precip decreasing further.
For today into the weekend...an upper ridge to the west will expand...eventually drifting east over AR this weekend. This will result in continued warming and more of the persistent dry forecast into the upcoming weekend. Highs will warm well above normal in the 90s for most locations...though some ares may approach the 100 deg mark. Lows will be mainly in the 60s...with some low 70s possible for some sites.
There may be some slight relief going into next week as hgts aloft slowly decrease. However...above normal conditions are expected to continue. Precip chances will also remain low as well.
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 623 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
VFR condns are expected thru the PD, w/ regional satellite imgry showing diurnal Cu dissipating. Short term guidance has been indicative of some patchy fog acrs Cntrl to SWrn AR, mainly impacting HOT/ADF thru 12Z Fri mrng, though confidence remains low of more impactful VISBY restrictions attm. Light and variable winds wl prevail overnight, w/ Srly to Erly winds resuming over the FA Fri.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 66 96 67 96 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 67 96 67 95 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 66 93 67 94 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 67 96 68 95 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 69 93 68 94 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 70 97 68 96 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 67 96 68 94 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 65 96 67 97 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 67 96 67 96 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 68 96 67 96 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 68 96 69 97 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 67 96 66 95 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 68 95 67 94 / 0 0 0 0
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.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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DISCUSSION...62 AVIATION...72
NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion