Blencoe, Iowa Weather Forecast Discussion

280
FXUS63 KOAX 260935
AFDOAX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
435 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Surface wildfire smoke drifting in from the northwest may
  result in hazy skies across the region today.
- Expect a dry pattern through the next week, with temperatures
  mostly in the lower to mid-80s.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 435 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
The upper pattern has Nebraska and the central CONUS under the
influence of a ridge wedged between two closed lows on either
side. At the surface, a ridge of high pressure kept skies mostly
cloud free and winds light and generally variable on Thursday,
though southerly winds were most common. Some surface smoke has
been draped across the area with very little of the smoke
noted above 5,000ft AGL. The 06Z RAP does suggest the smoke
will clear Saturday morning. The same model run suggests even
denser smoke from the PacNW will find its way into the area on
Sunday.
Temperatures this morning are generally in the 50s and 60s and
fog has been reluctant to develop beyond the occasional dip in
visibility reported at KICL. Guidance suggests some patchy fog
may develop along the Missouri River around sunrise. Most
morning commuters can expect visibility not to be impacted.
Overall, today`s weather should be a near repeat of Thursday`s
conditions which should lend itself to a pleasant Friday. Expect
mostly sunny skies marred only by a bit of surface smoke. Those
sensitive to the smoke may want to postpone heading outdoors
until after lunch if possible. Highs will again peak nearly 10F
above normal.
A trof passage is progged for Saturday morning, turning
southerly winds out of the north for about 18 hours. Again, the
wildfire smoke in the area is expected to be replenished. The
bulk of the CAA will be well to the north, but Saturday`s highs
may slip a few degrees before rebounding by Sunday and holding
steady through much of next week, too. The H5 ridging is
anticipated to rebuild and bring back the dry, warm, and
relatively boring weather as we turn the page on September. Even
the CPC`s day 6-10 and day 8-14 temperature outlooks lean warm
(but not dry!).
The next best chance of precipitation may wait for day 8 of the
forecast (Friday the 3rd) when 00Z global models suggest a trof
and surface cold front push through the central CONUS.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 616 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Quiet aviation weather continues. VFR conditions and light
southerly winds are expected overnight. A gradual increase of
wind speeds with mostly sunny skies are forecast.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Nicolaisen
AVIATION...Nicolaisen

NWS OAX Office Area Forecast Discussion