026 FXUS65 KCYS 252007 AFDCYSArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cheyenne WY 207 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- An upper-level ridge keeps the region drier today through the weekend with temperatures warming back into the 70s and 80s.
- Gusty winds are expected in the wind-prone regions on Friday alongside enhanced fire weather concerns, but no hazards are anticipated with these winds.
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.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 207 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Overall forecast remains fairly quiet in the short term. For the rest of today, upper level ridging continues to dominate, but is shifting eastwards from the approach of a trough that will bring slightly more active weather tomorrow. Skies will be mostly clear for the rest of the day with some breezy winds for our wind prone locations beginning to develop late this evening and overnight in anticipation of the approaching trough.
Moving into Friday, the bulk of this system will remain to our north, and primarily bring a glancing blow in the form of slightly enhanced winds. For high winds, in house guidance remains unimpressed as the jet lies much further north, and 700mb winds only max around 35-40 knots. Meanwhile dry conditions should also keep our precip chances nil, though a few clouds may be possible for the day. But with dry conditions and breezy winds does come a threat for fire weather concerns, and an enhanced day is expected, but not critical. While RH values may dip around 15% during the afternoon, this is expected to be brief and although coinciding with breezy winds (gusts 20-30 mph), the expectation is that these will not persist long enough to warrant critical conditions (3+ hours). Areas that will be affected lie east of the Laramie Range through the NE Panhandle.
Otherwise, expect the warming trend to reach its peak on Friday, as highs jump pack into the upper 70`s to upper 80`s east of the Laramie Range, with portions of the NE Panhandle even flirting with 90 degrees.
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.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 207 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Pretty benign weather across the CWA to start the long term as the region remains under high pressure, bringing pleasant weather conditions. Highs Saturday will top out in the 70s to low 80s under clear skies. For Sunday, some minor changes are in store as a low over southern California begins to have some impacts into our region. As this low slowly drifts east, it amplifies an upper level ridge to our east over the Central Plains and increases southerly flow into our neck of the woods. Energy aloft will ride up into our CWA along with moisture, this coupled with GFS Omega fields indicating upward motion in the atmosphere, will work together to increase chances of precipitation and isolated thunderstorms, primarily over our western zones Sunday afternoon. The set-up on Monday is somewhat similar with the threat generally over the same area during the afternoon hours. Precipitation chances decrease thereafter for the remainder of the long term with no substantial impacts into our CWA. Temperatures next week will be relatively pleasant as 700MB temps remain in the 7 to 11C range. This translates to the mid 60s to lowers 70s at the surface for areas west of I-25 and the mid 70s to mid 80s east of the corridor, with the warmest temperature across the Nebraska Panhandle. Winds are not of much concern with the strongest winds in the typical windier areas and across the higher terrain, gusts should top out to near 30 mph.
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.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 1133 AM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
VFR conditions will dominate the TAF period for all terminals as skies will remain clear, which is evident on the latest VIS satellite imagery. Gusty winds currently at KCYS will decrease this afternoon and for the rest of today, winds should become light and variable across the CWA. Westerly winds will ramp up once again through tomorrow morning and by the afternoon, gusts should top out in the 20 to 25 knot range for most terminals in our CWA.
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.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WY...None. NE...None.
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SHORT TERM...CG LONG TERM...RZ AVIATION...RZ
NWS CYS Office Area Forecast Discussion