713 FXUS62 KTBW 250042 AFDTBWArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 842 PM EDT Wed Sep 24 2025
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.UPDATE... Issued at 809 PM EDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Most of the activity has dissipated by now or it is close to ending. Light flow remains in place with slightly warmer overnight lows. An increase in storm coverage is anticipated as moisture increases. Southwest flow will increase in the afternoon pushing convection across inland areas and SW FL. Afternoon highs will be in the low 90s area wide.
In terms of the tropics, we now have Tropical Storm Humberto still expected to stay over in the Atlantic along with Gabrielle. There is also invest 94 that we continue to monitor with an 80 percent of development through 7 days. Please continue to review your hurricane plan.
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 809 PM EDT Wed Sep 24 2025
VFR conditions prevail with light and variable winds in place. Rain chances increases on Thursday during the afternoon with the highest chances over the interior and SW Fl terminals.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 77 91 77 90 / 10 30 20 40 FMY 75 91 75 90 / 10 40 20 40 GIF 75 94 75 92 / 10 50 20 50 SRQ 75 90 76 89 / 10 30 20 30 BKV 72 91 72 90 / 10 30 20 50 SPG 77 88 77 87 / 10 30 20 40
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Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 1 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 4
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
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.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None.
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UPDATE/AVIATION...Delerme DECISION SUPPORT...Flannery UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Fleming
NWS TBW Office Area Forecast Discussion