Carlton, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

791
FXUS63 KICT 261117
AFDICT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
617 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
...Updated Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and seasonably warm weather to persist over the next 7
  days.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 217 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Early this morning, the central plains remains on the back side
of an elongated deep layer trough extending from New England to
the western Gulf coast. The southern portion of this trough is
forecast to be cutoff from the main flow, and will serve as a
blocking mechanism that will slow the wave train that has kept
the region so active over the past month or so. As such, a
fairly strong mid/upper ridge will stall over the central
plains this weekend and into early next week, pinched in
between cutoff upper lows over the Desert Southwest and the
southeastern CONUS. This will keep temperatures a bit on the
warmer side, and will likely keep most rain chances at bay over
the next week or so.
With that being said, some tropical antics in the Atlantic could
cause some upstream impacts to the overall pattern that will
need to be monitored as this could open the door for some low
rain chances around the middle or latter portions of next week.
Regardless, temperatures from today through Thursday are
generally expected to remain around the low to mid 80s in the
afternoon, and the upper 50s to low 60s overnight, which is
just a touch above average for this time of year.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 616 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Despite some patchy fog in low-lying areas along with locations
in close proximity to rivers and creeks over the next 2-3 hours,
VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours.
Winds will generally be fairly light and out of the south
through the TAF period.
&&
.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JC
AVIATION...JC

NWS ICT Office Area Forecast Discussion