Chapman, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

399
FXUS64 KMOB 291111
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
611 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1159 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
An upper ridge over the interior eastern states eventually expands
to encompass much of the eastern CONUS by Thursday except for a
modest upper trof persisting over the northern Gulf coast states.
Tropical Storm Imelda meanwhile moves across the central and
northwestern Bahamas then turns and moves away from the
southeastern U.S. states. Please see the National Hurricane Center
for the latest information on Imelda. A surface ridge builds over
much of the eastern states through midweek and promotes a dry
northeasterly deep layer flow over the forecast area. Have
continued with a dry forecast through Wednesday, with just a
small chance for rain returning to near the Alabama coast on
Thursday.
The modest upper trof over the region evolves into a broad upper
low on Friday and lingers into Saturday before weakening to a weak
upper trof on Sunday. While a surface ridge persists over the
region, a surface low or surface trof may develop over the north
central Gulf by Saturday which would support an increasing trend
in rain chances. From Friday into Sunday, have gone with small
pops for the coastal areas on Friday trending to slight chance to
chance pops for much of the area by Sunday. Highs on Monday will
be in the upper 80s to lower 90s then trend steadily cooler
through Friday to range from 80 to 85, with similar values for
Saturday and Sunday. Lows Monday night and Tuesday night range
from the mid 60s well inland to near 70 at the coast then trend
cooler through Thursday night to range from around 60 inland to
the mid 60s at the coast. Overnight lows then moderate a bit
through Saturday night to range from the mid 60s inland to near 70
at the coast, with similar values for Sunday night. A low risk of
rip currents is expected through Wednesday night, then a moderate
risk follows for Thursday. A high risk of rip currents is
anticipated for Thursday night through Friday night. /29
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 611 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
VFR flight category prevails across the region through tonight.
Winds remain out of the northeast at around 5 to 10 knots during
the day, relaxing to near 5 knots at night. MM/25
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1159 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
A light to occasionally moderate northeasterly flow prevails through
Wednesday. A moderate to strong easterly flow develops Wednesday
night into Thursday and potentially strengthens Thursday night.
Small craft should exercise caution over the open Gulf waters by
late Wednesday night, and a Small Craft Advisory will likely
become necessary for Thursday through Friday night. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      90  68  89  69  88  66  87  63 /   0   0   0   0  10  10  10  10
Pensacola   89  70  88  72  86  69  85  67 /   0   0  10   0  10  10  10  10
Destin      89  70  87  71  86  68  84  67 /   0   0  10   0  10  10  10  10
Evergreen   91  65  89  65  88  61  87  58 /   0   0   0   0  10   0   0   0
Waynesboro  89  65  88  65  88  64  86  60 /   0   0   0   0  10   0   0   0
Camden      88  65  88  66  86  63  85  60 /   0   0   0   0  10   0   0   0
Crestview   90  65  88  65  87  62  85  61 /   0   0  10   0  10   0   0   0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion