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East Conneaut, Ohio Weather Forecast Discussion

167
FXUS61 KCLE 280627
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 227 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025

.SYNOPSIS... High pressure persists overhead before a weak cold front sinks south across the lower Great Lakes on Sunday. Strong Canadian high pressure will build south over the Great Lakes through the middle of the week before building east towards the Northeast by the end of the week.

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... The overall message with this forecast update is high pressure remains in control of our weather pattern and warm temperatures. A large upper level ridge of high pressure has developed over the Midwest and Ohio Valley. This upper level ridge will remain nearly stationary today into Monday. We will see mostly clear skies and sunny conditions both today and Monday. High temperatures today will range from the upper 70s to the middle 80s today and tomorrow. Overnight low temperatures will range from the lower to upper 50s tonight.

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.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... The upper level ridge of high pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern over the Midwest and Ohio Valley through the middle of this week. At the surface, a stronger high pressure system will build southeastward from Ontario Canada down into the Great Lakes and Northeast U.S. later this week. As the surface high pressure builds into the region midweek, breezy winds will increase from the East-Northeast 10 to 15 mph Tuesday and Wednesday. High temperatures will be warm again on Tuesday in the upper 70s to lower 80s. A cooler airmass will push into the region on Wednesday with high temps close to average in the lower to middle 70s. Overnight low temperatures Tuesday night will be in the upper 40s to middle 50s. Cooler low temperatures will move in by Wednesday night, in the lower to middle 40s. Some of the typical colder spots in NEOH and NWPA may dip down into the upper 30s Wednesday night/Thursday morning.

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.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... More of the same is in the forecast through the end of this week with high pressure staying in control of our weather pattern. Sunny and dry weather is expected for the end of this week into next week. High temperatures will be in the upper 60s to middle 70s on Thursday. By Friday and Saturday, high temperatures will start climbing upward again in the 70s with a few locations in NWOH approaching 80 degrees by next weekend. Overnight low temperatures will be generally in the 40s with some moderation in the cool weather by next weekend.

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.AVIATION /06Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/... VFR conditions are anticipated through the TAF period. Patchy fog may develop across inland NE OH and NW PA early this morning, but any restricted visibilities should remain to the south of TAF sites. Fog may begin to develop at inland terminals after 03Z Monday, but currently thinking visibility restrictions should hold off until after the TAF period. Winds will be light and variable inland with a period of north/northwest winds developing at KERI/KCLE this afternoon into early this evening.

Outlook...Mainly VFR conditions are expected through Thursday.

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.MARINE... Onshore flow around 10 knots or less will develop today and persist through Monday. Canadian high pressure will build southeast into the northeastern CONUS Tuesday through late week, resulting in increasing northeast winds Tuesday through Wednesday. Winds will likely reach 20 to 25 knots Tuesday night through Wednesday night and the likelihood of a Small Craft Advisory is very high during this time. Waves may take a bit to subside in the western basin as east/northeast winds diminish to 10 to 15 knots on Thursday.

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.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.

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SYNOPSIS...77 NEAR TERM...77 SHORT TERM...77 LONG TERM...77 AVIATION...15 MARINE...15

NWS CLE Office Area Forecast Discussion

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