Ellisville, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

831
FXUS64 KJAN 020737
AFDJAN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
237 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
...New DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Mostly dry weather with warm days and cool nights expected into
   the weekend.
- Rain chances begin to increase some early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 237 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
Today through next Wednesday...High pressure along the east coast
remains wedged into the forecast area throughout much of the
forecast period.  But it will weaken a bit across the area mid-week
as its center drifts east off the eastern seaboard.  Ridging aloft
will break down today into Friday.  This will allow low pressure
aloft to build into the Lower Mississippi River Valley this weekend.
However, it`ll weaken over the region into the middle of next week.
Rain chances will remain scarce across the CWA and primarily in the
form of a few stray showers each afternoon through Saturday.  The
increased presence of the aforementioned mid/upper low across the
region Sunday into next week, along with increasing moisture, will
bring about some better rain chances across the forecast area.
Still, with the isolated to scattered nature of convection, much of
the area will remain dry. With this ongoing long duration stretch of
below normal rainfall, we will be monitoring for any increased fire
weather concerns in this dry weather pattern.
As far as temperatures are concerned, at to slightly above normal
warmth will be felt again this afternoon as highs peak in the mid
80s to lower 90s.  Come Friday and into the weekend, afternoon highs
will be more seasonable, mid to upper 80s, as drier air advects east
into the region. Conditions will warm through mid-week as moisture
again subtly creeps back into the region. /19/
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
VFR prevails with few to scattered mid to high level clouds with
most clouds along and south of I-20. Winds will prevail from the
east around 5kts./SAS/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       88  63  85  64 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      87  59  84  62 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     90  64  86  64 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   90  63  87  65 /  10  10   0   0
Natchez       90  65  86  64 /  10   0   0   0
Greenville    90  62  86  61 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     90  62  86  62 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
19/SAS

NWS JAN Office Area Forecast Discussion