Fernley, Nevada Weather Forecast Discussion

112
FXUS65 KREV 230953
AFDREV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
253 AM PDT Tue Sep 23 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Near to slightly above average temperatures are expected
  through much of the upcoming week.
* Another weather system may bring shower and thunderstorm chances
  again late Wednesday through Thursday, mainly from I-80
  southward.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
The dominating feature for our weather is a ridge currently residing
over the Pacific Northwestern region, which will keep our
temperatures near to just above normal and keep skies free from
clouds. A feature that will affect us later this week is a low
pressure circulation currently spinning off the Southern California
coast. This will introduce showers as early as Wednesday evening to
the Eastern Sierra, south of I-80. Chances for Wednesday evening are
checking in at 10-35%, the higher chances found along the ridge in
southern Alpine and northern Mono counties. These chances increase
Thursday as the low center draws nearer, moving over the Central
Valley of California. Once the low migrates over land, it becomes a
bit cutoff from the main steering mechanism of the jet, allowing the
circulation to spin over California and Nevada through the end of
the week. Chances Thursday increase to 15-65%, with the highest
expectations for showers near the same locations as Wednesday.
Friday, lesser chances across Mono County of 10-20%, with some
showers spreading into Mineral County.
Into the weekend, showers may linger across the
Mono/Alpine/S.Lyon/Mineral counties region, all dependent on how
long the low stays cut off from the flow. For now, chances will
range 10-25% through the weekend, which is subject to change as we
watch this cutoff low slowly meander across the area.
Details for early week are still being worked out as there is some
minor agreement in blended guidance for another frontal boundary to
approach from the northwest. There is some discrepancy around just
how far south this boundary will slide, so some may see showers
while others experience only gusty winds. HRICH
&&
.AVIATION...
* VFR conditions for all terminals, with the exception of morning
  fog at KTRK, which will burn off by 16z. Light winds will
  prevail with typical afternoon gusts to 20 kts. HRICH
&&
.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&
$$

NWS REV Office Area Forecast Discussion