Fort Chaffee, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

442
FXUS64 KTSA 281716
AFDTSA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1216 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1215 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
- Mostly Dry weather with above normal temperatures this
work week.
- Very low probability of isolated thunderstorms in western
Arkansas Thursday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
There should be a few extra high clouds tonight, but otherwise
little change is expected between tonight and last night.  Some
patchy fog is again possible in low areas and near lakes toward
morning.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Sunday)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
The upper low over the southwestern U.S. is being kicked out
toward the middle of the country, as is some upper-level energy
near the Baja. These two systems will become part of a complex
evolution with the ridge near the Mississippi Valley and an
upper low over the southeast U.S.  The result is expected to be
a weak upper low over in the vicinity of Memphis toward the end
of the week. Provided that some form of this evolution happens,
a couple of isolated thunderstorms would be possible in parts of
western Arkansas on Thursday.  Right now the chance is below
mentioning in the public forecast, but will be mentioned in more
sensitive decision support information.
Otherwise dry weather is expected this work week with warm days
and pleasant nights.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 12:15 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR conditions are expected through the period for most
locations. Winds will be light and variable, generally favoring the
southeast. Skies will be partly cloudy, with periods of passing high
clouds and few clouds in the 4-6 kft layer. A few fog prone areas
could see briefly reduced visibility near dawn Monday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   59  85  62  85 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   60  86  63  86 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   58  86  61  85 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   56  84  58  84 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   54  83  56  83 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   54  81  57  81 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   59  84  61  84 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   57  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0
F10   59  85  60  84 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   60  85  63  84 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...06

NWS TSA Office Area Forecast Discussion