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Funkley, Minnesota Weather Forecast Discussion

685
FXUS63 KFGF 231151
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 651 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and warm thru the end of the month. Patchy fog possible late night and early mornings the next few days.

&&

.UPDATE... Issued at 646 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025

The good news is that fog has stayed away for all but Wadena, Staples MN area...with majority of the fog Alexandria to Staples to Longville to Ely MN and south/east. A weak frontal boundary doesextend from Cavalier to Cooperstown ND. A patch of low clouds is moving south behind this front from south central Manitoba and likely to move into Langdon, Walhalla area this morning before scattering out. Other than a few tweeks for fog and cloud cover, forecast is good.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 321 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025

...Synopsis...

500 mb pattern shows an upper low over the central Rockies and instability and moisture tied to the central Plains into Ohio valley. This pattern will bring these areas significant rainfall. In our area....500 mb jet is bringing systems into southeast Alaska and into northern British Columbia. This jet will remain in that area the next few days as a flat 500 mb ridge builds east thru southern Canada from southern Alberta into Ontario. This will keep the area along the Intl border dry. Even within the west-east ridge aloft there are a few weak suface systems that will move through, providing some wind shifts. One today that will shift winds from light south/southwest to north/northwest and then one Thursday. Moisture is very limited for both of these fronts and at this time no precipitation is anticipated, plus winds and sfc convergence is very weak along these weak fronts as they pass through.

That said last evening there was a brief couple showers in SW ND that did form along a weak front and this front will be in north central MN into far southeast ND/west central MN mid to late aftn. Not out of the realm of possibility some mid level CU forms along it at peak heating and a mid level shower or two forms. Chance for this occurring is 10 pct or less and thus not included in the fcst.

With light winds at night...will see continued chances for ground fog formation. This early morning the main formation is to our east and southeast but there is still time for patches of fog yet thru sunrise. Same for Tues late night/early Wed as winds again light with patchy fog possible.

7 day forecast is dry thru next Tuesday. Above normal temperatures as well with no frost risk thru the end of September.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 646 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025

Expect VFR thru the pd. Fog avoided BJI early this morning, but do have some patchy fog in the forecast for late Tues night/early Wed as same conditions will be present with light winds and near 100 pct RH. Not in TAF attm, as too uncertain. KBJI area is most prone in this pattern for ground fog. Otherwise light winds to start today, but weak front moving thru turning wind to the NW thru the day....all but BJI.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Riddle DISCUSSION...Riddle AVIATION...Riddle

NWS FGF Office Area Forecast Discussion

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