Funkley, Minnesota Weather Forecast Discussion

685
FXUS63 KFGF 231151
AFDFGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
651 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and warm thru the end of the month. Patchy fog possible
  late night and early mornings the next few days.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 646 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
The good news is that fog has stayed away for all but Wadena,
Staples MN area...with majority of the fog Alexandria to Staples
to Longville to Ely MN and south/east. A weak frontal boundary
doesextend from Cavalier to Cooperstown ND. A patch of low
clouds is moving south behind this front from south central
Manitoba and likely to move into Langdon, Walhalla area this
morning before scattering out. Other than a few tweeks for fog
and cloud cover, forecast is good.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 321 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
...Synopsis...
500 mb pattern shows an upper low over the central Rockies and
instability and moisture tied to the central Plains into Ohio
valley. This pattern will bring these areas significant
rainfall. In our area....500 mb jet is bringing systems into
southeast Alaska and into northern British Columbia. This jet
will remain in that area the next few days as a flat 500 mb
ridge builds east thru southern Canada from southern Alberta
into Ontario. This will keep the area along the Intl border dry.
Even within the west-east ridge aloft there are a few weak
suface systems that will move through, providing some wind
shifts. One today that will shift winds from light
south/southwest to north/northwest and then one Thursday.
Moisture is very limited for both of these fronts and at this
time no precipitation is anticipated, plus winds and sfc
convergence is very weak along these weak fronts as they pass
through.
That said last evening there was a brief couple showers in SW ND
that did form along a weak front and this front will be in north
central MN into far southeast ND/west central MN mid to late
aftn. Not out of the realm of possibility some mid level CU
forms along it at peak heating and a mid level shower or two
forms. Chance for this occurring is 10 pct or less and thus not
included in the fcst.
With light winds at night...will see continued chances for
ground fog formation. This early morning the main formation is
to our east and southeast but there is still time for patches of
fog yet thru sunrise. Same for Tues late night/early Wed as
winds again light with patchy fog possible.
7 day forecast is dry thru next Tuesday. Above normal
temperatures as well with no frost risk thru the end of
September.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 646 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
Expect VFR thru the pd. Fog avoided BJI early this morning, but
do have some patchy fog in the forecast for late Tues
night/early Wed as same conditions will be present with light
winds and near 100 pct RH. Not in TAF attm, as too uncertain.
KBJI area is most prone in this pattern for ground fog.
Otherwise light winds to start today, but weak front moving thru
turning wind to the NW thru the day....all but BJI.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Riddle
DISCUSSION...Riddle
AVIATION...Riddle

NWS FGF Office Area Forecast Discussion