Gackle, North Dakota Weather Forecast Discussion

904
FXUS63 KBIS 271954
AFDBIS
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
254 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above average temperatures and occasionally breezy conditions
  continue through the middle of next week.
- Mostly dry conditions this weekend and into the beginning of
  next week. Low rain chances return for the latter half of next
  week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 254 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Currently a slight ridging pattern is present over the Pacific
Northwest and Northern Plains. An upper level high is sitting over
the Southern Plains. A cutoff low is moving through the SOCAL region
as well. At the surface a high pressure is located in northern South
Dakota. This high pressure is slowly moving east today and will/is
creating breezy south winds on the backside. With the ridging
pattern over the Northern Plains, today and Sunday will be sunny
with above average highs in the 70s and lower 80s. Sunday the
thermal ridge will be the strongest in the west, where temperatures
will be in the upper 80s! Elsewhere will see the lower 80s. Some
breezy winds may be found across south central and eastern
portions of the state. Afternoon RH values may lower into the
20s across the west Sunday afternoon, although the breezier
winds should remain east of these lower RH values.
Sunday the cutoff low will diminish, but create the flow aloft
to change in the Northern Plains to southwest flow. The flow
will be very weak with little forcing, so no thunderstorms are
forecasted through Monday. The rest of next week will see this
southwest flow slowly increase in strength and diffluence, along
with some weak low pressures moving through. With this the
chance of showers and thunderstorms return. The chances per the
NBM are less than 20 percent, but with dew points in the 50s and
high temperatures in the 70s the likelihood of storms are
probably higher than the NBM has. Late next week a low and
trough digs in from Canada leading to cooler air next weekend.
The NBM has highs in the 70s, but the range of possible
temperatures is very large due to the uncertainty of the
strength of that trough. Regardless, temperatures will stay
above average through the forecast period. Breezy winds may be
found at times through at least mid week, possibly peaking
Tuesday and Wednesday.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
VFR CIGs and VIS through the period. Breezy southerly winds
around 20kts this afternoon, calming after sunset.
&&
.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Smith
AVIATION...Smith

NWS BIS Office Area Forecast Discussion