Geneseo, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

220
FXUS63 KICT 061133
AFDICT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
633 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Mild and dry this weekend.
- Low chances for showers and storms Monday evening through
  Tuesday morning.
- Warm-up expected for the latter half of next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 318 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Currently, high pressure is building into the area behind the
frontal boundary that passed through the region yesterday. This is
resulting in much drier and cooler air overspreading the region.
Most of the cloud cover has shifted off to the south of the area,
and temperatures have dipped into the upper 40s to lower 50s early
this morning. We could see some patchy radiation fog develop over
the next few hours, especially in our south-central and southeast
Kansas counties. Light westerly winds this morning will turn south-
westerly by midday.
For the next couple days, a stout surface high will be centered over
the Upper Midwest, extending down through the Central Plains. This
feature will sustain below normal temperatures with highs in the 70s
and overnight lows in the 50s to lower 60s. We can also expect dry
and mostly sunny conditions through the weekend making it ideal
weather to get outside.
As we move into next week, the ridge to our west will begin to build
back over the region. This will lead to a gradual warming trend with
highs in the lower 80s to begin the week and temperatures nearing
normal in the middle to upper 80s for the middle to end of the week.
We will also have a couple of opportunities for rain with the best
shot currently looking like Monday/Monday night as an upper level
short-wave moves across the region with corresponding 850mb WAA
increasing. Additional spotty chances exist through the remainder of
the week, but probabilities currently remain low.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 628 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
VFR conditions through the period. Light and variable winds this
morning will turn southwesterly for all locations by midday.
Some patchy fog has developed across primarily southeast Kansas
this morning and will linger for the next couple of hours. There
is very low confidence on coverage, timing, and duration of the
fog and was not included in the TAFs at this time.
&&
.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...AMD

NWS ICT Office Area Forecast Discussion