Your favorites:

Glenn, Michigan Weather Forecast Discussion

103
FXUS63 KGRR 231825
AFDGRR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 225 PM EDT Tue Sep 23 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered Showers/Storms Slowly Press South and East

- Drying out for the Weekend into Early Next Week

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 224 PM EDT Tue Sep 23 2025

- Scattered Showers/Storms Slowly Press South and East

The upper level pattern changes little into Thursday morning as an upper low meanders over the region. Abundant low level moisture (ie. high RH in the 1000-850mb layer) will be featured across much of the region, leading to extensive cloud cover. Enough moisture and surface based instability (a few hundred J/kg) will be present through this evening and then again Wednesday to help generate a few showers and thunderstorms, mainly along I-94 and also east of I-69 this evening, then primarily east of US 131 for Wednesday. The 12z HREF 24 hr QPF LPMM shows some bullseyes of 1"+ from Wednesday into early Thursday especially toward the US 127 corridor.

A consensus of model guidance for Thursday indicates the upper low should start exiting, with any leftover showers mainly impacting areas near US 127 and further east into the thumb region and SE Lower. There might be just enough elevated instability to support a thunderstorm, but that would likely be the exception to the rule.

- Drying out for the Weekend into Early Next Week

Ensemble guidance continues to favor a dry weekend as ridging moves in, with upper heights reaching the 580s dm into early next week (well above normal). With 850 mb temperatures staying in the 12c-15c range, upper 70s to around 80 will be achievable this weekend into early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 129 PM EDT Tue Sep 23 2025

A broken line of showers with embedded thunderstorms continues to cross West Michigan this afternoon, with the line moving east of JXN near 18z. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible behind this line into the evening, with widely scattered activity supportive of maintaining PROB30s with amendments as needed. Any remaining MVFR sites will become VFR shortly as cigs climb to near 5kft. MVFR and lower conditions are possible in any showers and storms. Tonight, widespread fog and low stratus are expected with widespread MVFR/IFR conditions and a 20-40 percent chance of LIFR. Have trended the TAFs accordingly with this package. While visibilities will improve after sunrise, it may be well into the morning/early afternoon before ceilings improve.

&&

.MARINE... Issued at 224 PM EDT Tue Sep 23 2025

No marine concerns at present given a weaker gradient across the Central Great Lakes. Winds increase from the north Wednesday into Thursday with speeds of 10-20 knots as a low pressure system slides through the Ohio Valley. Initially offshore flow before the low moves east will help keep waves in the 1-3 foot range, with flow becoming onshore Thursday morning. Looking at the 12z ECMWF... the morning run brings this guidance more in line with other models with a weaker low tracking more to the east. This would keep winds in line with the current forecast. Winds subside Friday as high pressure takes over as the main driver of the forecast. Unsettled weather will persist through Thursday with scattered showers across the waters.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hoving AVIATION...Thomas MARINE...Thomas

NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion

WeatherForYou.com, LLC is not responsible for any damages or problems caused by this service. Current weather conditions are obtained from the closest government operated station, a personal station contributing to the PWSweather.com network or from the Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS). Some weather information is powered by XWeather. WeatherForYou.com, NOAA, AerisWeather and their data providers disclaim liability of any kind whatsoever, including, without limitation, liability for quality, performance, merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose arising out of the use or inability to use the data. Like all things, this site belongs to Jesus Christ ... He just trusts us to maintain it. If you have any questions or comments please use the suggestion box.

Copyright © 1999 - 2025, WeatherForYou.com LLC. All rights reserved.