Hodges, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

725
FXUS64 KHUN 260143
AFDHUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
843 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 843 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Storms that moved in from NE Mississippi have dwindled down the
past couple of hours, however, showers still exist along the I-65
corridor. These showers have a very low chance of producing
lightning and are expected to continue weakening as they push into
NE Alabama- possibly dissipating completely within the next 1-2
hours. While there are low chances (10% or less) for a few
lingering showers overnight, the area should remain mostly dry
through tomorrow afternoon. As skies clear overnight, there is a
low chance of patchy fog development, especially in areas that
received rainfall today as well as along large bodies of water.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Monday)
Issued at 843 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
As the sfc low pressure system and subsequent cold front
continue to move southeastward over portions of the Tennessee
Valley, low to medium rainfall chances (20-40%) continue. These
will primarily be along I-65 and eastward as the cold front stalls
to our southeast through the first half of the weekend. A stronger
storm cannot be ruled out Friday afternoon as instability remains
sufficient (1200+ J/kg) along with decent low level lapse rates
(7-7.5 C/km). Shear continues to be inadequate, eliminating the
risk for any organized severe weather to occur.
Dry weather will return to the Tennessee Valley Sunday and
continue through early next week. Highs during this time are
forecast to be in the upper 70s to mid 80s with overnight lows
dropping into the upper 50s to lower 60s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Friday)
Issued at 843 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A dry forecast continues through the first half of the work week
as an upper level ridge and subsequent sfc high pressure filters
into the Tennessee Valley from the west. Low rain chances creep
back into NE Alabama by mid week as the aforementioned cold front
shifts back to the NE and stalls over the Carolinas. However,
confidence in this is low as we continue to watch how the tropics
unfold off the eastern coast. Therefore, maintained a mostly dry
forecast through the end of the long term period. Highs during
this time are forecast to reach the 80s with overnight lows in
60s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A broken line of showers with a few embedded storms continues to
progress over NW AL at issuance. This may bring slight reductions
in VIS to the MSL terminal, but this line should move east of this
TAF site by 1Z. Thinking that showers/storms will gradually
decrease by the time it gets to north-central AL (HSV TAF site).
With sunset, most activity should dwindle, with little to no rain
forecast overnight. The main concern later tonight will be the
potential for lower CIGs and possible patchy fog. Trends continue
to show higher probabilities of this along and east of I-65. Not
confident that CIGs at the HSV site will plummet below MVFR, but
we`ll continue to monitor this. Did include at least MVFR CIGs as
well as a slight reduction in VIS for the potential for patchy
fog. Not anticipating widespread dense fog at this time. CIGs and
any fog will then gradually clear through the morning hours on
Friday, with low chances (10-30%) of showers and a few storms once
again Friday afternoon (mainly along and east of I-65).
&&
.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...HC
SHORT TERM....HC
LONG TERM....HC
AVIATION...26

NWS HUN Office Area Forecast Discussion