Hugoton, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

245
FXUS63 KDDC 151903
AFDDDC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
203 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and warm Tuesday
- Showers and storms Wednesday
- More storm chances shifting east for the rest of the week
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 222 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
Another dry and warm day is expected Tuesday. The downslope flow
pattern will keep highs in the up 80s to around 90F range. Lows
tonight will be mild with values in the low to mid 60s.
Attention then turns to Wednesday. An upper level low/trof will
start to influence the area from the west and northeast midweek.
This will reintroduce storm chances across the FA. The NBM pops
are in the 30% to 60% range. Will have to watch out for a strong
thunderstorm or two, as both instability and shear will be weak
but present. Brief heaving rainfall will also be possible, as
PWATs are expected to be over 1", which is on the higher side
for this time of year.
Storm chances will shift to the eastern zones Thursday as the
main wave starts to move east. The highest pops will be kept
across the east during the day and evening. Highs will be a
little cooler with values mainly in the 70s during this period.
Only isolated storm chances exist Friday as southwest Kansas
will be in between weather systems, including for Saturday as
well.
The next week is looking pleasant with warm highs and only
isolated storm chances throughout the period. Lows will be in
the mix of 50s to 60s.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1111 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
VFR/CAVU expected through TAF pd. SE to SSW winds 5-15 kt will
continue.
&&
.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden

NWS DDC Office Area Forecast Discussion