Hull, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

242
FXUS62 KFFC 010522
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
122 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1252 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
- Dry conditions the rest of the week before rain chances start
   to increase late this weekend into next week.
- High temps falling into the 70s and breezy easterly winds will
   lead to fall-like conditions the rest of the week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 836 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025
A wild swing over the short term with an upper level ridge crashing
into the three headed hydra that is Humberto, Imelda, and our cutoff
low. Currently, moisture from the northeast continues to pump into
the Carolinas and Georgia. This will keep our ceilings low into the
afternoon and keep a few isolated showers in north Georgia. As the
two tropical systems shift northward and the upper level ridge moves
over, flow strengthens out of the northeast driving drier air
quickly across the region. A brief period of clouds clearing this
afternoon may allow for increased destabilization and a few isolated
showers (maybe a rumble of thunder) in north Georgia. This window
will be short loved though, as PWATs fall from around 1.25-1.5"
today (>50th percentile) to around 1" or less by tomorrow morning.
The ridge will move more overhead tomorrow and the sfc high over the
northeast expands and drives suppressive forcing southward. Combined
with clearing skies temperatures tomorrow will briefly climb back
into the mid 80s before we get another chance to cool in the long
term outlook.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday morning through next Tuesday)
Issued at 836 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025
At the beginning of the long term period, an upper level ridge will
be centered over the eastern CONUS, with an associated surface high
(1030+ mb) centered near the New England area. A CAD wedge will
extend from the surface high along the Appalachians, spreading into
Georgia by Thursday morning. Meanwhile, Imelda will be far away from
the east coast, accelerating eastward away from the Bahamas and
further into the Atlantic. The influence of the high pressure regime
and cold air advection will give us our first real taste of Fall
during the later parts of the work week. Dewpoints on Thursday and
Friday will largely be in the upper 40s to mid 50s, while high
temperatures each afternoon will rise into the mid 70s to low 80s.
Subsidence underneath the surface high will also inhibit rain
chances, with PoPs under 10 percent through the early parts of the
weekend. The pressure gradient will remain tight between the high
and Imelda, though not so tight that winds would approach Wind
Advisory criteria. Still, easterly winds are expected to be between
10-15 mph with gusts up to 20-25 mph on Thursday and Friday.
Going into the weekend, the airmass will begin to moderate as the
surface high sinks southward towards the Mid-Atlantic coast, with
temperatures and dewpoints gradually beginning to rise on Saturday.
This trend is expected to continue into the early parts of next
week. The increasing low-level moisture will be most readily
apparent -- by Sunday afternoon, dewpoints are forecast to increase
into the mid 60s in north Georgia and low to mid 70s in central
Georgia. Mid-range guidance is also coming into better agreement
about the development of a weak surface low in the northern Gulf by
Sunday, though uncertainty remains with respect to its evolution and
movement. The presence of such a low could spread additional
moisture into central and north Georgia on its northeastern side and
lead to a return of rain chances towards the end of the long term
period. For this forecast package, PoPs on Sunday and Monday have
been increased to 25-40% in central Georgia to reflect better
confidence in the development of the low. PoPs between 15-25% have
been introduced in north Georgia on Monday, as well.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1252 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
VFR conditions expected through the 06Z TAF period. SCT-BKN CIGs
around 8-10kft overnight will clear out by mid-morning with mostly
clear skies the rest of the period. Winds will remain out of the
NE (030-090) around 6-10kt through the period, with gusts to 20kt
from late morning through the afternoon.
//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
High confidence in all elements.
Culver
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          58  74  53  75 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         62  77  56  77 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     54  72  49  73 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    61  79  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        63  81  59  82 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     59  75  54  75 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           60  77  58  79 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            62  82  56  82 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  59  77  54  78 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         61  80  60  82 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....King
AVIATION...Culver

NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion