463 FXUS64 KSHV 080604 AFDSHVArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 104 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1254 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
- Dry conditions have taken hold of the region and this trend will continue into the foreseeable future
- Temperatures will gradually warm back into the lower to mid 90s by the middle of the week
- Despite returning to the lower to mid 90s, dewpoints will remain low enough that it shouldn`t feel miserable
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1254 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
No major changes to the forecast over the next 7 days. Current upper-air analysis shows a trough over the eastern CONUS and a ridge building in the southwest CONUS. As we move through the week, this ridge will only gradually push eastward and take hold of our region. As a result, temperatures will increase a degree or two each day through Wednesday, returning to the lower and mid 90s by Thursday and then these temperatures will continue into the weekend. Another important factor of this building ridge, we appear to be dry with no rain chances in the forecast for the next 7 days.
The only saving grace to our "false fall" departing and our next round of early summer is that our dewpoints will remain low enough that it shouldn`t feel miserable outside. Will it still be hot, yes, but will it be unbearably hot? I don`t think so. I think the temperature will feel the way it reads this week. And that`s it. /33/
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.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1254 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
For the ArkLaTex terminals, VFR throughout this cycle with NE winds light at night and 5-15KT by mid morning and all afternoon. Fair skies and dry weather will last all week. Aloft, our winds keep NE for climb and back to N/NW for FL150-FL30 at 20-50KT respectively. /24/
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.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1213 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Spotter activation is not expected through the upcoming work week.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 85 59 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 84 57 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 81 54 83 58 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 83 55 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 82 53 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 82 58 84 61 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 84 56 86 61 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 86 59 88 62 / 0 0 0 0
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.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. &&
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DISCUSSION...33 AVIATION...24
NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion