Kramer Junction, California Weather Forecast Discussion

766
FXUS65 KVEF 291731
AFDVEF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1031 AM PDT Mon Sep 29 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* A series of disturbances will roll through the Western US this
  week, bringing isolated showers to the Great Basin and breezy,
  dry conditions to the rest of the region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...through Sunday.
The first in a series of shortwaves will approach the West Coast
today, rolling through the Great Basin tomorrow. This first
disturbance will bring a 20 to 40% chance of isolated showers and
thunderstorms to the eastern Sierra and southern Great Basin today
and tomorrow, with breezy 15 to 25 mph wind gusts across the region
each afternoon. As this system rolls through, we will find ourselves
under southwesterly-to-westerly flow aloft, which will help flush
moisture from the region. A cut-off low will push into the Pacific
Northwest later this week, before opening up and digging south into
our forecast area. While there remains uncertainty regarding the
timing and strength of this trough, we can expect breezy winds and
cooler conditions to accompany it. These cooler temperatures look to
stick around as long-term guidance shows this trough-y pattern
continuing through the weekend and into early next week.
&&
.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 18Z Forecast Package...No
significant weather impacts are anticipated through tonight with
light winds generally following typical diurnal patterns. There is a
30-40% chance of brief periods of 10-12 knot winds this afternoon,
though speeds will otherwise remain below 10 knots. Gusts to around
20 knots are more likely tomorrow, generally between 30/18Z and
01/03Z. VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period with FEW
to SCT clouds with bases AOA 10kft AGL.
For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Most locations will
experience light breezes that follow typical diurnal patterns
through tonight. The exception will be the Owens Valley and
southwestern Great Basin where gusty south winds of 20-30 knots are
possible this afternoon and early evening. A few showers and
isolated thunderstorms will also be possible in these areas.  VCSH
was maintained at KBIH from 19/19Z to 30/03Z, but depending on
trends this may need to be amended to VCTS. Winds and any convective
activity are expected to subside after sunset. Aside from the
convection mentioned above, VFR conditions will prevail through the
TAF period with FEW to SCT clouds with bases AOA 10kft AGL.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Stessman
AVIATION...Planz
For more forecast information...see us on our webpage:
https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter

NWS VEF Office Area Forecast Discussion