Leaday, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

296
FXUS64 KSJT 110559
AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1259 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and warm conditions will continue into early next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 136 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Upper ridging will continue to build in Wednesday, with dry and
warm conditions. Lows tonight will be in the mid and upper 60s
along and north of I-20, with lower 60s to the south. Highs
Thursday will be about a degree higher, in the lower to mid 90s,
with the warmer readings in the Big Country and Concho Valley.
Patchy morning stratus possible in morning along I-10 from Ozona
to Sonora to Junction, but otherwise sunny skies expected.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 1204 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
Longer term forecast has changed a little since yesterday,
although still remains relatively quiet for most of the period.
Upper level ridge across the Southern Rockies will shift east a
little as a deeper upper trough develops over the western US. By
Sunday, the upper ridge axis gets squeezed southeast away from the
Southern Plains and allows the upper trough to settle into the
Rockies, with stronger southwest to west flow across west Texas.
Models show at least some scattered convection across west Texas
north into the Panhandle and into western Oklahoma, skirting the
fringes of the western Concho Valley and western Big Country.
This trough will lift away from the area for the start and middle
of next week, but the ridge may not rebuild into the area very
quickly. Models have their difference at this range but without
the ridge blocking everything, some chance of at least a few
showers and storms across the area seems reasonable. Model blends
are bringing in some small POPs for Wednesday into Thursday and
will leave those in the forecast for now.
Same basic temperature profiles does remain however, with highs
each day in the low to mid 90s with lows in the mid/upper 60s to
near 70. No change in air mass, so small deviations in cloud over
or wind direction will allow for any change in temperatures from
day to day.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1248 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
VFR conditions will dominate the next 24 hours. Some stratus may
develop across the far southern terminals towards daybreak. Most
of this should be rather scattered but cannot rule out some brief
MVFR ceilings for a few hours through mid morning. Will carry
TEMPO groups at KJCT and KSOA for this potential. Otherwise,
mainly clear skies expected, with light southeast to south winds,
although a few gusts to around 18 knots will be possible during
the afternoon hours.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     96  69  95  69 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  94  66  92  66 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    93  66  92  64 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   94  67  94  66 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  96  68  95  69 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       91  66  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       91  67  91  65 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...24

NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion