Maxfield, Maine Weather Forecast Discussion

949
FXUS61 KCAR 141045
AFDCAR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
645 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will cross the area today. High pressure will build
down from the north tonight and crest over the area Tuesday into
Wednesday. High pressure will move east of the area Thursday.
Another cold front will cross the region Friday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
645 am update...
Quick tweak to sky, temps and dwpts for this morning. Adjusted
winds for this afternoon with fropa occurring between 18z-21z.
Prev discussion blo...
An upper trough sliding into Labrador will work with high pressure
building down from the Hudson Bay region to push a cold front across
the area today. There is very little moisture from the front. It`s
main effect will be to bring a band of cloudiness from south to
north across the area around midday. A few spots may have a brief
light shower, mainly across eastern areas from midday into early
afternoon. There is some thin cape below 15K ft. Free convection is
very marginal but frontal convergence may be enough to produce
some small isolated low top convective cells. Kept slight
chance thunder mainly over east central areas through early to
mid afternoon.
High pressure will build in from Quebec tonight bringing clearing
and a moderately chilly night. Lows will range from the low 40s
north with a few upper 30s in the colder valleys, to the low 50s
Downeast.
High pressure building over the area will bring a sunny, dry day on
Monday with highs mainly in the low 70s across the area. Winds will
be light NW.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Pseudo Rex block setting up at the beginning of the period with
closed low over sern U.S. and H5 ridge over the Great Lakes. CWA
will experience nw flow aloft with broad sprawling high at the
surface. For the weather Mon night through Tue night this means
near/below normal for lows and above normal for highs with clear
skies and light winds expected. Patchy valley fog can be expected
Monday night and again Tuesday night with fairly stagnant dewpoint
temps.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Closed low begins to eject out by Wednesday morning as compact vort
max drops into the northern Plains. Sfc high pressure moves offshore
on Wednesday as sfc low and associated cold front drops south toward
CWA. Area will remain in between both systems Wednesday and
Wednesday night with sunny skies on Wednesday giving way to
increasing clouds overnight. Maxes on Wed expected to be well above
normal for all inland locations. Yet another round of valley fog
expected Wed night with mins warmer due to southerly flow bringing
higher dwpts to the region.
Upper low ejecting into srn New England may bring showers to coastal
areas Thursday afternoon and evening. At the same time the cold
front will drop toward the area though guidance differs on when
fropa may occur. Operational models and ensemble means, including
most of their respective members, bring fropa through late Thursday
night and Friday morning. Temps drop to below normal values
following fropa through next weekend. Cannot rule out another dry
frontal passage with some ensemble members showing < 0.10 inches
total from now thru the end of the week.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM:
IFR at CAR and PQI early this morning with low cigs and fog for
the first 30 minutes to one hour, otherwise VFR today. Cannot
rule out VCSH ahead of front this afternoon with no
restrictions. Cannot rule out MVFR/IFR fog at terminals late
tonight, improving to VFR on Monday.
SHORT TERM:
Monday night-Thursday...IFR/LIFR patchy fog possible at
terminals Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday morning, otherwise
VFR. Light W winds through Wednesday, before backing around to
the SSW Wednesday night.
&&
.MARINE...
NEAR TERM:
Winds will be light, seas around 2 ft, and visibilities good
today, tonight and Monday.
SHORT TERM: Seas and winds below small craft with winds aob
10kts and seas 3 feet or less through the period.
&&
.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
Near Term...Bloomer/Buster
Short Term...Buster
Long Term...Buster
Aviation...Bloomer/Buster/Buster
Marine...Bloomer/Buster/Buster

NWS CAR Office Area Forecast Discussion