Mohave Valley, Arizona Weather Forecast Discussion

790
FXUS65 KVEF 022252
AFDVEF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
350 PM PDT Thu Oct 2 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* A low pressure system will bring gusty southwesterly wind to the
  region on Friday, with increased precipitation chances for the
  Great Basin and eastern Sierra.
* Beyond tomorrow, temperatures will remain slightly below normal
  along with dry conditions.
&&
.DISCUSSION...through Wednesday.
Our next system remains on track to impact southeastern California,
southern Nevada, and northwest Arizona tomorrow as a trough swings
through the area. This trough will bring gusty southwesterly winds
to the region, with multiple wind headlines in effect for portions
of San Bernardino County and the Spring Mountains of Southern
Nevada, where 40+ mph wind gusts are expected throughout the day
tomorrow. Elsewhere, wind gusts will top out in the 30 to 40 mph
range with isolated 40+ mph gusts possible in areas of higher
terrain. Starting early tomorrow morning, localized 40+ mph
southerly downslope winds are expected across Highway 95 near Desert
Rock-Mercury. However, due to the isolated nature of these winds, no
wind headlines have been issued at this time. Outside of winds, this
system will also bring a 30 to 60% chance of isolated showers to
the higher terrain of Inyo County and the Great Basin. With snow-
levels around 9,000 to 10,000 feet, precipitation is expected to
fall as rain outside of the Sierra Crest, where they will see
their first dusting of the season with an inch or two possible
along the ridgeline.
The progressive nature of this system means that it`ll be out of our
area by Saturday. In its wake, drier conditions, cooler
temperatures, and lighter breezes. Ensembles continue to indicate a
reloading/persistent trough over the western US through the middle
of next week, which means the aforementioned conditions are likely
to linger, albeit with a slight moderation in temperatures toward
seasonable values.
&&
.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 00Z Forecast Package...
Southwest winds with occasional gusts to 20 knots are expected
through sunset. Overnight, winds will remain southwesterly while
diminishing to around 10 knots. Southwest winds will increase during
the morning tomorrow with gusts of 25 to 32 knots developing after
20Z (25% chance of gusts reaching 35 knots). Winds will gradually
decrease through the evening, though occasional gusts to 25 knots
remain possible through 06Z. VFR conditions prevail with FEW-SCT
clouds with bases AOA 25kft AGL through the TAF period.
For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 00Z Forecast Package...The Las Vegas area TAF
sites will see wind conditions similar to those forecast for Harry
Reid.  Elsewhere, south to southwest winds with gusts up to 25 knots
will continue across the western Mojave Desert through the evening.
In the Owens Valley, up-valley gusts up to 25 knots are expected
this evening before turning northerly and diminishing overnight.
West to southwest winds will increase again tomorrow afternoon, with
gusts up to 30 knots possible. VFR conditions will prevail with FEW-
SCT clouds with bases AOA 20kft AGL through the TAF period, except
in the Owens Valley where SCT clouds with bases around 12kft AGL are
expected tomorrow afternoon.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Stessman
AVIATION...Planz
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NWS VEF Office Area Forecast Discussion