Nebish, Minnesota Weather Forecast Discussion

351
FXUS63 KFGF 182001
AFDFGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
301 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Prolonged period of showers today through Saturday with a 70
  percent or higher chance of 1 inch or more through Friday
  night. Best chance for these higher amounts will be in
  southeast North Dakota and the southern Red River Valley.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
...Synopsis...
Scattered showers continue to form this afternoon as an upper low
moves very slowly to the northeast out of South Dakota. Movement of
the low is inhibited by a narrow, but highly amplified, H5 ridge
over the Great Lakes Region. The ridge is expected to continue
moving east, albeit very slowly. As such, scattered showers are
expected this afternoon through at least Friday evening, when the
low will be centered over eastern North Dakota. During this time, a
funnel or two will be possible; however, there is no expectation of
strong or severe thunderstorms. Best chances for more persistent
rain will be in southeast North Dakota this afternoon through Friday
evening, but will shift into Minnesota heading into Saturday. Most
of the shower activity will be east of the area on Sunday, with
perhaps some lingering showers in northwest Minnesota. From Monday
onward, ridging builds back into the Northern Plains, bringing dry
weather and warm temperatures through much of next week.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
MVFR to IFR conditions prevail at most sites this afternoon as
an upper low continues to approach the area. Scattered showers
and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm can be expected through
much of the TAF period, with northeast winds at 10 to 15 knots.
Heading into Friday morning, LIFR ceilings are possible as the
upper low slowly moves closer to the area, bringing low stratus
and BR.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Lynch
AVIATION...Lynch

NWS FGF Office Area Forecast Discussion