Neodesha, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

846
FXUS63 KICT 301740
AFDICT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1240 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and seasonably warm weather to persist through at least
Saturday.
- Cooler temperatures and maybe some storm chances possible by the
end of the weekend and into the beginning of next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 314 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
Early this morning, the mid/upper ridge axis continues to remain
draped from the Upper Midwest to the central Gulf Coast with a
weakening shortwave trough slowly progressing north and east across
the southern and central plains. Lift ahead of this trough has
induced widespread mid to upper level cloud cover; however, as
the trough exits later today, subsidence on the back side should
allow for gradual clearing, especially during the afternoon and
evening hours.
By Wednesday, increasing heights/thicknesses will slowly build in
from the southwest, and a gradual warming trend is forecast from the
middle of the week through the first half of the weekend. In
general, afternoon highs and overnight lows will be around 5 to 10
degrees above average for the start of October. Additionally, this
strengthening ridge will prolong this dry period the region has
experienced (albeit a somewhat welcome break from the wet period the
area has seen since the end of May).
Towards the latter half of the weekend, eyes will turn towards the
west as a rather strong deep layer trough is forecast to eject into
the central and northern plains bringing cooler temperatures and
perhaps a few chances for showers and storms. Currently, the best
rain chances appear to be across the northern half of Kansas
and into Nebraska, but details like this will come into focus
over the next few days. Be sure to stay tuned for updates.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1234 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
VFR conditions through the period. Mid level clouds should
clear from west to east as we approach 00Z. Southerly winds
between 10-15 knots this afternoon will diminish some overnight,
increasing again between 15-18Z on Wednesday.
&&
.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JC
AVIATION...AMD

NWS ICT Office Area Forecast Discussion