Poplar Bluff, Missouri Weather Forecast Discussion

671
FXUS63 KPAH 220500
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1200 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Transition to a wetter and more active pattern is underway. Isolated
  to widely scattered storms this afternoon and evening, then
  rain chances ramp up and remain higher through early to mid
  week.
- A pleasant cool down is expected with this pattern. Highs dip
  back down into the 70s by mid week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1156 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
Updated Aviation discussion for the 06z TAF issuance.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 237 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
More isolated to widely scattered storms are possible this afternoon
and evening as we continue to transition to a wetter and more active
pattern. PoPs ramp up more overnight tonight as an upper level short
wave approaches from the west. This short wave moves through on
Monday making for a fairly wet day. Not confident in highs for
Monday as it looks to be pretty cloudy and rainy which could keep
highs lower than forecast.
Rain chances continue to be high through early to mid week. Chances
are higher that we could see 2-3" of rainfall total with some
locally higher amounts possible. Mid to late week temperatures come
down into the 70s for a pleasant cool down. A large, possibly closed
low aloft moves through Wednesday night into Thursday then opens
into an open wave by Friday. This could cause some lingering PoPs
through Friday afternoon then drying out over the weekend with
ridging filling in behind it. Temperatures come back up to around
seasonal for the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1156 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
For the 06z TAF issuance, showers and thunderstorms across
southeast MO and far west KY will continue to spread
northeastward now through 12z, eventually impacting all
terminals. A second wave of heavier thunderstorm activity will
push into the region from west to east after 10-11z, with cigs
lowering to MVFR and MVFR/IFR vsbys expected through 15-19z.
Activity will continue and become focused near the I-64 corridor
tonight, with impacts continuing at MVN, EVV, and OWB. Outside
of variable thunderstorm winds, prevailing conditions will be
from the S-SW at 8-12 kts with gust to 20 kts during the
afternoon.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...DWS

NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion