Ridgefield, Connecticut Weather Forecast Discussion

247
FXUS61 KOKX 271140
AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
740 AM EDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds into the region today. A disturbance
brings a chance for rain tonight before a weak front pushes
through on Sunday. High pressure builds in next week while low
pressure remains well south and southeast of the region.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Weak high pres across the region today. Some patchy fog with
calm winds early this mrng, then a canopy of mid and high clouds
overspreads the area from the SW today. Stlt showed these
clouds from near PHI to VA. Any rain is expected to hold off
attm with the mid lvls dry along with subsidence. Winds lgt
today becoming sely this aftn. The NBM was followed.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
An upr trof lifting into the area is still modeled to produce
some lgt rain tngt across the cwa, especially the srn/ern
portions. Convection with this trof is progged to remain over
the Atlc. The llvls will still take some time to saturate, with
the sys then exiting by 12Z per the model consensus.
Becoming mostly sunny for Sun, with temps abv normal.
Some patchy radiation fog possible Sun ngt with lgt and vrb
flow.
The NBM was followed.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A 1030s Canadian high will build into the region next week. At
first, there will be solid nely flow locked in with the center
of the high still to the NW and tropical low pres over the
Atlc. As the high reaches the area by the end of the week, winds
will go lgt.
No pcpn is expected thru the period.
The NBM was followed.
Please note, for specific track and strength observational and
forecast information regarding tropical waves and tropical
cyclones, see the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane
Center.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Weak high pressure remains in control today. Weak low pressure
approaches from the south tonight.
Generally VFR through the TAF period. Light showers associated
with the low to the south may bring a brief period of MVFR
ceilings for most terminals (except KSWF). Have included TEMPO
group from 06Z-10Z for most terminals (a couple of hours later
for KGON).
Light and variable winds early this morning become
light out of the NE later this morning at 5 to 10 kt. S-SE sea
breezes at 5 to 10 kt for coastal terminals this afternoon,
otherwise light winds for inland terminals at around 5 kt.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
No unscheduled amendments expected through the day today.
Amendments possible overnight tonight with changes in flight
rule categories in any shower.
.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
Sunday-Tuesday: VFR.
Wednesday: VFR. NE gusts around 20 kt possible.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
&&
.MARINE...
Winds and seas remain blw sca lvls thru the day on Mon.
Increasing swell will likely produce sca seas on the ocean Mon
ngt and Tue. Strengthening NE winds will keep sca cond in place
on the ocean thru Wed, with the winds possibly meeting criteria
on the non-ocean waters as well.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
No hydrologic issues expected through next week.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
There is a low rip current risk this weekend with waves around 2
ft and lgt winds.
With a continuous easterly flow and fetch next week, minor
coastal flooding may be possible around midweek along with the
possibility of high surf.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BC/JMC/JM
NEAR TERM...JMC
SHORT TERM...JMC
LONG TERM...JMC
AVIATION...JP
MARINE...JMC
HYDROLOGY...JMC
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

NWS OKX Office Area Forecast Discussion