399 FXUS61 KCAR 130554 AFDCARArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 154 AM EDT Sat Sep 13 2025
.SYNOPSIS... High pressure will exit to the east today. A cold front will approach tonight and cross the area Sunday. High pressure will build over the region Monday into Tuesday then slide east of the area Wednesday.
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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... High pressure over the area will slide to the east today. The return flow behind the high will work with a weak upper level disturbance to bring a partly to mostly cloudy sky over the north while Downeast remains partly sunny. Temperatures will make a run for 70 as the return flow ushers in some slightly warmer air.
High pressure will continue away to the east tonight as a cold front begins to approach from the north. This will bring a partly cloudy and milder night tonight with lows from the mid 40s north to near 50 Downeast.
An upper level shortwave trough dropping south from Quebec will slide by to our northeast on Sunday as high pressure approaching from Hudson Bay pushes a cold front through. The upper trough and cold front may bring some light spotty showers over the north around midday, and Downeast later in the afternoon. Moisture is very sparse so any showers will likely be light and brief. Otherwise, the sky will be partly cloudy with high temperatures once again ranging from the mid to upper 60s north to the low 70s Downeast.
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.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Axis of upr lvl trof will be dropping over the waters Sunday evening with showers winding down. Skies will begin to clear from north to south with fropa. With winds decoupling acrs the north mins look to drop into the lower 40s in the North Woods. An extended period of dry weather will begin Sunday night. Maxes on Monday expected to be near normal while lows Monday night should be just below normal. Upper level low looks to close off over the southeast Sunday night into Monday, leaving CWA in between the active northern stream over nrn Canada and the closed low to our south.
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.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Broad hipres will be over the northeast at the start of the long term period. Upr ridge axis looks to extend thru the Great Lakes with the beginnings of a Rex block possibly developing on Tuesday. Temps will moderate Wednesday into Thursday before northern stream brings a cold front toward the CWA late on Thursday. At the same time, the closed low begins to eject off of the mid-Atlantic coast due to s/wv dropping into the northern Plains. Fropa late in the week looks to drop temps back toward normal values.
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.AVIATION /04Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR conditions are expected Saturday, Saturday night and Sunday. Winds will be light S today and tonight, becoming light SW on Sunday and light NW over the north Sunday afternoon.
SHORT TERM: Sunday night-Wednesday...VFR. Light N winds through Monday, then light W winds through Wednesday.
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.MARINE... NEAR TERM: Winds will be light and seas around 1 to 2 ft over the weekend. Visibility should be good.
SHORT TERM: Seas and winds will remain below small craft advisory levels through the middle of the week.
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.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for MEZ001-003. Beach Hazards Statement from 7 AM EDT this morning through this evening for MEZ029-030. MARINE...None.
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Near Term...Bloomer Short Term...Buster Long Term...Buster Aviation...Bloomer/Buster Marine...Bloomer/Buster
NWS car Office Area Forecast Discussion