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Rubottom, Oklahoma Weather Forecast Discussion

440
FXUS64 KOUN 120533
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1233 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1231 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025

- Hot/above-normal temperatures today through the weekend.

- Next chance for rain/storms Saturday night into Sunday across portions of western Oklahoma and perhaps western-north Texas.

&&

.NEAR TERM... (Through Friday) Issued at 1231 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025

A mid-level ridge will be centered directly over the southern Plains today. Afternoon highs will get up into the low to mid 90s across the entire area. Dry conditions will no weather impact is expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (Friday night through Sunday night) Issued at 1231 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025

Overnight lows Friday into Saturday are expected to not recover much, with most of the area only getting down into the low 70s.

A much broader trough will continue to move through the western CONUS, pushing the ridge to the east. In turn, afternoon highs will be a few degrees cooler Saturday afternoon. Most of the area will see upper 80s to low 90s, with some mid 90s possible across southwestern portions of the area. Precipitation chances increase Saturday evening through Sunday morning, mainly across western and northern Oklahoma and adjacent western north Texas. A slower progression of this system may continue to limit the expansive nature of the precipitation. Nevertheless, trends in this activity will be monitored.

The aforementioned trough will push through the Plains Sunday, so afternoon highs will be a few degrees cooler. No additional rain chances are expected with this system.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Monday through Thursday) Issued at 1231 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025

At least some weaker ridging aloft will move back in next week, keeping afternoon temperatures from getting below the upper 80s. Medium range models would suggest a breakdown of the ridge by midweek, with additional rain chances possible across much of the area.

&&

.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1013 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025

VFR conditions to continue.

Clear skies and light south winds expected overnight. Winds will veer a bit from the southwest during the day Friday and increase across much of the area. Some gusts over 20kts possible across the west. A few high clouds possible by late in the day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 93 70 91 71 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 96 69 94 71 / 0 0 0 10 Wichita Falls TX 95 70 93 72 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 93 67 89 65 / 0 0 0 30 Ponca City OK 95 70 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 94 70 93 70 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. &&

$$

NEAR TERM...13 SHORT TERM...13 LONG TERM....13 AVIATION...30

NWS OUN Office Area Forecast Discussion

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