Safford, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

613
FXUS64 KBMX 161729
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1229 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
...New KEY MESSAGES...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1034 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
- Dry and hot conditions will persist with only very isolated
   showers and thunderstorms possible today and tomorrow
   afternoon. Otherwise, a pattern shift is possible next week
   that could give some relief.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Hot temperatures and dry conditions will persist as the upper low
over the coastal Carolinas brings northerly flow to much of the
southeast. A slight wrinkle to that is the southernly surface flow
that may begin to re-establish itself by tomorrow afternoon. If
so, that will help with some limited convergence and a few more
isolated showers and thunderstorms. Will likely not amount to
much, however, as the overall moisture levels will remain low.
This pattern will continue through the weekend.
Next week is starting to look better in terms of rainfall as a
wholesale pattern change is still being featured by early next
week. We will provide some more updates and details as time
approaches, but the outlooks are showing a 40% chance of above
normal rainfall for much of next week.
17/klaws
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 600 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
Mainly VFR conditions will persist through the period, although it
should be noted that the chance for an isolated thunderstorm at
the very end of the period has slightly increased.
17/klaws
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Not a lot of change to the current forecast. Generally speaking,
the afternoon RH values will reside in the 30s with light winds.
There has been a slight increase in the potential for isolated
showers tomorrow afternoon as southerly return flow starts to get
re-established. However, any chances for widespread meaningful
rainfall will not be likely until a pattern shift next week.
17/klaws
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     90  64  89  64 /  20  20  20   0
Anniston    88  65  88  65 /  20  20  20   0
Birmingham  91  69  91  68 /  10  10  20   0
Tuscaloosa  92  67  93  66 /  10   0  20   0
Calera      91  67  92  67 /  10   0  20   0
Auburn      89  66  89  67 /  20  10  20   0
Montgomery  90  64  91  66 /  10  10  20   0
Troy        88  63  90  65 /  10   0  20   0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...17/KLaws
LONG TERM....17/KLaws
AVIATION...17/KLaws

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion