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Saxtons River Cemetery, Vermont Weather Forecast Discussion

100
FXUS61 KALY 281147
AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 747 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025

.UPDATE... As of 7:40 AM EDT...Mid and high clouds have moved off to the east of the region this morning, which allowed for some patchy, locally dense fog to form prior to sunrise. Most areas should see fog dissipate within the next 1-2 hrs, leading to partly to mostly clear skies through the morning. Otherwise, updated temperatures based on latest NYS Mesonet / ASOS obs to account for current trends, as temps for many areas west of I-87 that saw more clearing last night are running a few degrees below the previous forecast. Otherwise, previous forecast remains in good shape with more details below...

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.SYNOPSIS... Dry conditions in store today and through the next week. Unseasonably warm temperatures through Tuesday, with seasonal temperatures returning Wednesday into the end of the week.

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.DISCUSSION... Key Message: Dry conditions persist with above normal temperatures through Tuesday.

A coastal low pressure system is moving off to the S/SE of Long Island this morning. As the coastal low continues to head east this morning, clouds decrease and a partly to mostly sunny day is in store with dry conditions continuing. A warm airmass is overhead with high temperatures today ranging in the mid 70s to mid 80s and dewpoint temperatures in the 60s. So it`ll feel a bit muggy outside today before a cold front moves through this evening helping move the more humid and warm airmass and bring temperatures tonight near normal with lows in the 40s and 50s.

Surface high pressure builds in tonight from the north and west that is going to be in place over eastern New York and western New England through Saturday. Very high confidence in no precipitation within the next seven days as ensemble forecast models and National Blend of Models (NBM) 4.3 data support dry conditions this week with upper level ridging in place. We`re in the season with favorable early morning fog conditions, especially in river valley locations. So patchy fog could develop each morning this week as skies are clear during the overnight hours.

High temperatures are still above normal for the end of September as tomorrow`s high range in the low to low 80s and in the 70s for Tuesday. For Tuesday night into Wednesday, another cold front moves through to bring cooler temperatures back near seasonable and even below normal with highs in the 50s and 60s through Thursday. Behind the front for Wednesday afternoon, gusty winds drain down valley locations with gusts ranging between 15 and 20 mph. By Wednesday night, winds become calm again and continue to be light and variable through the end of the week.

Frost conditions are currently supported for Wednesday night into Thursday morning across the eastern Catskills, southern Vermont, Berkshires, and the southern Adirondacks. We`ll continue to monitor temperatures, winds, and sky cover trends this week as conditions are currently favorable for calm winds and low temperatures below 36 degrees. If temperatures fall below 32 degrees, freeze conditions could occur in the southern Adirondacks, but the Frost/Freeze program ends for them on the 1st so headlines will likely not be issued for there. Nevertheless, be prepared to protect plants and vegetation Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Otherwise, most locations could observe low temperatures Thursday morning in the mid 30s to low 40s. High temperatures for Friday range in the 50s and 60s and Saturday range in the 60s and 70s. Low temperatures range Friday morning in the 30s and low 40s with Saturday morning lows ranging in the low 40s.

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.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Through 12z Monday...Fog/mist producing IFR/LIFR conditions mainly at KPSF/KGFL will burn off by around 28/13z, with VFR conditions expected for the terminals for the remainder of the upcoming TAF period. Winds will be increasing to 5-10 kt by mid-morning from the southwest. Winds then veer to the W/NW behind a cold frontal passage during the early afternoon, with a few gusts to around 15-20 kt possible at ALB/PSF. Winds then veer to the N/NW with any gusts diminishing as we approach sunset. Winds tonight will become light and variable again.

Outlook...

Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

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.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None.

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UPDATE...Main SYNOPSIS...Webb DISCUSSION...Webb AVIATION...Speck

NWS ALY Office Area Forecast Discussion

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